AI Football Tips: MLS round 26

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The postseason push reaches boiling point across North America as Major League Soccer gears up for Matchday 27 from September 18–20. With the Supporters’ Shield race entering its decisive stretch, frontrunners Nashville SC command the summit with 54 points, maintaining an eight-point buffer over the chasing pack led by the Vancouver Whitecaps (46 points) and Inter Miami CF (45 points) as contenders battle for vital playoff seeding before November’s Decision Day.

The weekend ignites on Friday, September 18, with the fierce Hudson River Derby between New York City FC and the New York Red Bulls at Yankee Stadium. Saturday, September 19, delivers a sprawling slate headlined by Nashville SC hosting the Chicago Fire FC, an intrastate Texas showdown between FC Dallas and Austin FC, and a West Coast battle pitting San Jose Earthquakes against LAFC. Action wraps up on Sunday, September 20, with a landmark first-ever clash as Inter Miami CF welcomes expansion side San Diego FC to Miami Freedom Park. Explore our AI-driven match predictions and statistical breakdowns for every fixture this week.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for MLS round 26. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-09-18 MLS New York City New York RB H 1X2
2026-09-19 MLS Montreal Impact Columbus Crew H -0.25
2026-09-19 MLS DC United Charlotte H 0
2026-09-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes Los Angeles FC H 0
2026-09-19 MLS New England Revolution Orlando City H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS FC Dallas Austin H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Houston Dynamo FC Cincinnati H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Minnesota United LA Galaxy H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Sporting KC Philadelphia Union A 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS St. Louis City Toronto H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Nashville SC Chicago Fire H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Colorado Rapids Seattle Sounders H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Real Salt Lake Vancouver Whitecaps A 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Portland Timbers Atlanta United FC H 1X2
2026-09-20 MLS Inter Miami San Diego H 1X2

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-09-18 New York City New York RB 69 69 2.07 1.93
2026-09-19 Montreal Impact Columbus Crew 58 92 1.60 2.68
2026-09-19 DC United Charlotte 62 67 1.66 2.53
2026-09-19 SJ Earthquakes Los Angeles FC 50 54 1.82 2.22
2026-09-19 New England Revolution Orlando City 50 58 1.34 3.98
2026-09-20 FC Dallas Austin 82 69 1.32 4.08
2026-09-20 Houston Dynamo FC Cincinnati 33 75 2.33 1.75
2026-09-20 Minnesota United LA Galaxy 50 77 1.85 2.17
2026-09-20 Sporting KC Philadelphia Union 75 77 1.46 3.19
2026-09-20 St. Louis City Toronto 75 55 1.88 2.13
2026-09-20 Nashville SC Chicago Fire 67 83 1.63 2.59
2026-09-20 Colorado Rapids Seattle Sounders 33 50 3.43 1.41
2026-09-20 Real Salt Lake Vancouver Whitecaps 67 60 2.04 1.96
2026-09-20 Portland Timbers Atlanta United FC 92 54 1.52 2.91
2026-09-20 Inter Miami San Diego 92 45 1.69 2.45

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-09-18 MLS New York City New York RB 4.47 1.29
2026-09-19 MLS Montreal Impact Columbus Crew 1.52 2.91
2026-09-19 MLS DC United Charlotte 2.25 1.80
2026-09-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes Los Angeles FC 2.56 1.64
2026-09-19 MLS New England Revolution Orlando City 1.25 5.07
2026-09-20 MLS FC Dallas Austin 1.19 6.34
2026-09-20 MLS Houston Dynamo FC Cincinnati 3.50 1.40
2026-09-20 MLS Minnesota United LA Galaxy 2.40 1.72
2026-09-20 MLS Sporting KC Philadelphia Union 1.32 4.14
2026-09-20 MLS St. Louis City Toronto 1.69 2.44
2026-09-20 MLS Nashville SC Chicago Fire 1.34 3.95
2026-09-20 MLS Colorado Rapids Seattle Sounders 11.77 1.09
2026-09-20 MLS Real Salt Lake Vancouver Whitecaps 1.98 2.02
2026-09-20 MLS Portland Timbers Atlanta United FC 1.51 2.97
2026-09-20 MLS Inter Miami San Diego 1.84 2.20

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
Inter Miami 2.75 2.00 2.15 1.69
Vancouver Whitecaps 2.29 0.79 2.10 1.20
FC Cincinnati 2.83 2.00 1.50 2.92
Nashville SC 3.00 1.00 1.08 0.69
FC Dallas 2.18 1.82 1.79 1.57
Chicago Fire 1.83 1.17 1.92 1.75
Portland Timbers 2.38 1.85 1.33 1.92
Philadelphia Union 1.58 0.92 2.08 2.15
Charlotte 2.00 1.00 1.58 1.92
SJ Earthquakes 1.67 1.58 1.85 1.31
Orlando City 1.77 1.31 1.75 3.25
St. Louis City 2.08 1.33 1.31 1.46
San Diego 2.29 1.71 0.91 1.64
New England Revolution 1.83 0.92 1.46 1.54
Los Angeles FC 1.92 0.85 1.23 1.23
New York City 2.00 1.54 1.08 1.08
Real Salt Lake 2.00 1.42 1.08 1.83
Toronto 2.07 2.00 0.82 1.64
Minnesota United 1.00 1.08 1.92 2.31
Columbus Crew 1.31 1.15 1.50 2.25
Colorado Rapids 1.83 0.75 0.85 1.77
New York RB 1.50 1.92 1.15 1.92
Austin 1.33 1.00 1.23 2.46
Houston Dynamo 1.25 0.67 1.31 1.54
DC United 1.31 1.77 1.18 1.27
Montreal Impact 1.33 1.25 1.15 2.77
LA Galaxy 1.15 1.23 1.23 1.85
Atlanta United FC 1.42 1.75 0.92 1.69
Seattle Sounders 1.45 1.64 0.75 1.00
Sporting KC 1.25 1.83 0.92 3.08

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-09-18 MLS New York City New York RB 1 1
2026-09-19 MLS Montreal Impact Columbus Crew 2 1
2026-09-19 MLS DC United Charlotte 1 2
2026-09-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes Los Angeles FC 1 1
2026-09-19 MLS New England Revolution Orlando City 2 2
2026-09-20 MLS FC Dallas Austin 2 2
2026-09-20 MLS Houston Dynamo FC Cincinnati 2 1
2026-09-20 MLS Minnesota United LA Galaxy 2 1
2026-09-20 MLS Sporting KC Philadelphia Union 1 2
2026-09-20 MLS St. Louis City Toronto 2 1
2026-09-20 MLS Nashville SC Chicago Fire 2 1
2026-09-20 MLS Colorado Rapids Seattle Sounders 1 0
2026-09-20 MLS Real Salt Lake Vancouver Whitecaps 1 2
2026-09-20 MLS Portland Timbers Atlanta United FC 2 2
2026-09-20 MLS Inter Miami San Diego 2 1

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