The drama and elegance of Spain’s LaLiga EA Sports return in full force as Matchday 5 takes center stage from September 11–14. With the summer transfer window closed following headline-grabbing moves—including Gabriel Jesus joining FC Barcelona, Jonathan David arriving at Atlético de Madrid, and Youssouf Fofana bolstering Sevilla FC—the championship contenders are eager to make an early statement.
The weekend opens on Friday, September 11, with a historic duel at the Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán as Sevilla FC hosts Valencia CF under manager Carlos Corberán. On Saturday, September 12, Jude Bellingham and Real Madrid welcome crosstown neighbors Rayo Vallecano to the Santiago Bernabéu. A packed Sunday, September 13, follows as FC Barcelona visits Levante UD at the Ciutat de València, while Atlético de Madrid takes on Real Sociedad at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Explore our AI-driven match predictions and analytical forecasts for every fixture this week.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 5. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | La Liga | Sevilla FC | Valencia CF | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Racing Santander | Deportivo Alavés | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | CA Osasuna | RCD Espanyol | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | Elche CF | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Celta de Vigo | Málaga CF | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Levante UD | FC Barcelona | A | No bet |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Getafe CF | Deportivo La Coruña | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Atlético Madrid | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | La Liga | Villarreal | Real Betis | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Sevilla FC | Valencia CF | 62 | 50 | 1.76 | 2.31 |
| 2026-09-12 | Racing Santander | Deportivo Alavés | 100 | 55 | 1.39 | 3.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | CA Osasuna | RCD Espanyol | 67 | 65 | 2.19 | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletic Club Bilbao | Elche CF | 52 | 86 | 1.82 | 2.21 |
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 57 | 43 | 1.41 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-13 | Celta de Vigo | Málaga CF | 62 | 0 | 3.11 | 1.47 |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD | FC Barcelona | 55 | 62 | 1.64 | 2.56 |
| 2026-09-13 | Getafe CF | Deportivo La Coruña | 33 | 100 | 1.36 | 3.79 |
| 2026-09-13 | Real Sociedad | Atlético Madrid | 76 | 57 | 1.64 | 2.57 |
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal | Real Betis | 65 | 76 | 1.50 | 3.01 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | La Liga | Sevilla FC | Valencia CF | 1.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Racing Santander | Deportivo Alavés | 1.37 | 3.72 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | CA Osasuna | RCD Espanyol | 4.04 | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | Elche CF | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 1.29 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Celta de Vigo | Málaga CF | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Levante UD | FC Barcelona | 1.57 | 2.76 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Getafe CF | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.12 | 9.65 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Atlético Madrid | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | La Liga | Villarreal | Real Betis | 1.68 | 2.48 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 3.05 | 0.57 | 2.29 | 1.24 |
| Real Madrid | 2.52 | 0.81 | 1.62 | 1.00 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Villarreal | 2.50 | 1.10 | 1.27 | 1.45 |
| Racing Santander | 2.50 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Atlético Madrid | 2.05 | 0.90 | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Real Betis | 1.71 | 0.90 | 1.33 | 1.62 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.86 | 1.52 | 1.18 | 1.68 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 1.55 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Elche CF | 1.52 | 1.29 | 1.05 | 2.00 |
| Celta de Vigo | 1.43 | 1.52 | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| Sevilla FC | 1.29 | 1.38 | 1.24 | 1.76 |
| Levante UD | 1.55 | 1.50 | 0.95 | 1.64 |
| RCD Mallorca | 1.63 | 1.11 | 0.84 | 1.89 |
| Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.24 | 1.14 | 1.10 | 1.86 |
| RCD Espanyol | 1.18 | 1.23 | 1.15 | 1.65 |
| CA Osasuna | 1.52 | 1.14 | 0.81 | 1.52 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.33 | 0.86 | 0.95 | 1.71 |
| Valencia CF | 1.23 | 1.32 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Girona FC | 1.11 | 1.42 | 0.95 | 1.47 |
| Getafe CF | 0.95 | 0.81 | 0.67 | 1.24 |
| Real Oviedo | 0.47 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 2.21 |
| Málaga CF | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 3.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | La Liga | Sevilla FC | Valencia CF | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Racing Santander | Deportivo Alavés | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | CA Osasuna | RCD Espanyol | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | Elche CF | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | La Liga | Real Madrid | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Celta de Vigo | Málaga CF | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Levante UD | FC Barcelona | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Getafe CF | Deportivo La Coruña | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | La Liga | Real Sociedad | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | La Liga | Villarreal | Real Betis | 2 | 2 |
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