The excitement in Italy’s Serie A shifts into high gear as Matchday 4 takes center stage across the peninsula from September 11–14. Following an explosive previous round highlighted by classic encounters between heavyweight contenders, the league returns to its full traditional schedule with high-stakes fixtures spread across four thrilling days.
Action begins on Friday, September 11, with Venezia welcoming Fiorentina to the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo. Saturday, September 12, serves up the headline duel in the capital as Lazio hosts Milan at the Stadio Olimpico, before Atalanta faces Cagliari in Bergamo. Sunday, September 13, sees Napoli collide with Bologna at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, while Juventus travels to take on Sassuolo. The round concludes with a bustling Monday, September 14, lineup featuring Torino vs. Roma and Inter hosting Udinese at San Siro. Explore our AI-driven match predictions and analytical previews for all of this week’s clashes.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Serie A round 4. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Serie A | Venezia | Fiorentina | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Genoa | Frosinone | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Lazio | AC Milan | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Atalanta | Cagliari | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Lecce | Monza | A | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Napoli | Bologna | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Sassuolo | Juventus | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Torino | Roma | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Como | Parma | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Inter Milan | Udinese | H | No bet |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Venezia | Fiorentina | 0 | 50 | 1.91 | 2.10 |
| 2026-09-12 | Genoa | Frosinone | 48 | 0 | 1.77 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-12 | Lazio | AC Milan | 40 | 48 | 2.78 | 1.56 |
| 2026-09-12 | Atalanta | Cagliari | 43 | 60 | 2.56 | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | Lecce | Monza | 35 | 100 | 3.55 | 1.39 |
| 2026-09-13 | Napoli | Bologna | 60 | 55 | 2.19 | 1.84 |
| 2026-09-13 | Sassuolo | Juventus | 50 | 40 | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| 2026-09-14 | Torino | Roma | 65 | 40 | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-14 | Como | Parma | 47 | 30 | 4.96 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | Inter Milan | Udinese | 57 | 55 | 1.42 | 3.36 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Serie A | Venezia | Fiorentina | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Genoa | Frosinone | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Lazio | AC Milan | 4.74 | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Atalanta | Cagliari | 11.37 | 1.10 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Lecce | Monza | 6.93 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Napoli | Bologna | 2.93 | 1.52 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Sassuolo | Juventus | 4.75 | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Torino | Roma | 1.70 | 2.43 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Como | Parma | 3.95 | 1.34 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Inter Milan | Udinese | 1.10 | 11.30 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 2.71 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 0.95 |
| Frosinone | 1.50 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Como | 1.84 | 0.79 | 1.68 | 0.77 |
| Roma | 1.86 | 0.52 | 1.50 | 1.05 |
| Juventus | 1.81 | 0.81 | 1.35 | 0.90 |
| Napoli | 1.70 | 1.00 | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| AC Milan | 1.35 | 1.05 | 1.48 | 0.76 |
| Atalanta | 1.33 | 0.76 | 1.35 | 1.15 |
| Monza | 2.00 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Bologna | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Sassuolo | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.14 | 1.33 |
| Udinese | 0.95 | 1.14 | 1.50 | 1.45 |
| Torino | 1.40 | 1.55 | 0.95 | 1.76 |
| Lazio | 1.40 | 1.25 | 0.81 | 0.76 |
| Fiorentina | 1.05 | 1.24 | 1.00 | 1.65 |
| Genoa | 1.10 | 1.52 | 0.95 | 1.30 |
| Cagliari | 1.10 | 1.14 | 0.95 | 1.50 |
| Cremonese | 0.95 | 1.53 | 0.74 | 1.47 |
| Lecce | 0.65 | 1.40 | 0.81 | 1.29 |
| Parma | 0.81 | 1.29 | 0.60 | 1.15 |
| Pisa | 0.47 | 1.37 | 0.89 | 2.37 |
| Venezia | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Hellas Verona | 0.63 | 1.47 | 0.68 | 1.74 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Serie A | Venezia | Fiorentina | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Genoa | Frosinone | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Lazio | AC Milan | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Serie A | Atalanta | Cagliari | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Lecce | Monza | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Napoli | Bologna | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Serie A | Sassuolo | Juventus | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Torino | Roma | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Como | Parma | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Serie A | Inter Milan | Udinese | 3 | 1 |
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