Top-tier drama and tactical intrigue sweep across Germany as the Bundesliga kicks off Spieltag 3 from September 11–13. With the summer transfer window officially closed and early-season momentum taking shape, Europe’s most high-scoring league delivers a weekend of thrilling action.
The crown jewel of the round sees top-flight debutants SV Elversberg—who have stunned the league with a perfect six-point start—host powerhouse FC Bayern München, with Bayern desperate to respond after a goalless draw against Schalke 04. Meanwhile, in-form Borussia Dortmund (6 points) welcomes SC Paderborn 07 to Signal Iduna Park looking to extend their 100% record. Elsewhere, under-fire RB Leipzig hosts Hamburger SV at Red Bull Arena, while 1. FSV Mainz 05 clashes with rivals Eintracht Frankfurt in a heated Rhein-Main derby. Let me guide you through our AI-driven predictions and statistical breakdowns for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Bundesliga round 3. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Schalke 04 | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | Paderborn | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Freiburg | Borussia M’gladbach | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Hoffenheim | Stuttgart | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Köln | Werder Bremen | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-13 | Bundesliga | Elversberg | Bayern München | A | No bet |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Union Berlin | Schalke 04 | 76 | 0 | 2.52 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-12 | Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | 56 | 67 | 1.77 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-12 | Borussia Dortmund | Paderborn | 39 | 0 | 5.66 | 1.21 |
| 2026-09-12 | Freiburg | Borussia M’gladbach | 82 | 44 | 1.84 | 2.19 |
| 2026-09-12 | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 56 | 89 | 1.64 | 2.57 |
| 2026-09-12 | Hoffenheim | Stuttgart | 67 | 82 | 1.31 | 4.18 |
| 2026-09-12 | Köln | Werder Bremen | 89 | 50 | 1.72 | 2.39 |
| 2026-09-13 | RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | 61 | 53 | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-13 | Elversberg | Bayern München | 100 | 56 | 1.70 | 2.43 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Schalke 04 | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | 2.21 | 1.83 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | Paderborn | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Freiburg | Borussia M’gladbach | 1.64 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.80 | 2.25 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Hoffenheim | Stuttgart | 1.19 | 6.24 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Köln | Werder Bremen | 1.72 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | 2.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bundesliga | Elversberg | Bayern München | 2.04 | 1.96 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 3.00 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Bayern München | 4.00 | 1.12 | 3.00 | 0.94 |
| Stuttgart | 1.89 | 0.94 | 2.35 | 2.12 |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.41 | 1.06 | 1.78 | 1.72 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.33 | 0.89 | 1.82 | 1.18 |
| Hoffenheim | 2.06 | 1.33 | 1.88 | 1.76 |
| RB Leipzig | 2.39 | 1.11 | 1.53 | 1.53 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 1.65 | 1.71 | 1.94 | 2.28 |
| Köln | 1.83 | 1.78 | 1.12 | 1.88 |
| Augsburg | 1.56 | 1.56 | 1.41 | 1.76 |
| Freiburg | 1.94 | 1.29 | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Mainz 05 | 1.17 | 1.39 | 1.53 | 1.65 |
| Wolfsburg | 1.24 | 1.88 | 1.31 | 2.25 |
| Heidenheim | 1.44 | 2.19 | 1.06 | 2.06 |
| Union Berlin | 1.47 | 1.71 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Borussia M’gladbach | 1.35 | 1.65 | 1.00 | 1.78 |
| Werder Bremen | 1.29 | 1.76 | 1.06 | 1.83 |
| Hamburger SV | 1.39 | 1.50 | 0.82 | 1.94 |
| St. Pauli | 1.00 | 1.75 | 0.71 | 1.71 |
| Paderborn | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Schalke 04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Bundesliga | Union Berlin | Schalke 04 | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Augsburg | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Borussia Dortmund | Paderborn | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Freiburg | Borussia M’gladbach | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Mainz 05 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Hoffenheim | Stuttgart | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Bundesliga | Köln | Werder Bremen | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bundesliga | RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bundesliga | Elversberg | Bayern München | 1 | 2 |
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