Passion and fierce regional pride take center stage in Mexico as Liga MX kicks off a high-stakes stretch of Apertura 2026 action from September 10–14. With the Mexican transfer window officially closing on September 11, clubs across the country are finalizing their rosters for a crucial autumn campaign.
The crown jewel of the round unfolds on Saturday, September 12, as Rayados de Monterrey hosts arch-rivals Tigres UANL at 19:00 hrs in the explosive Clásico Regio 143. Midweek action begins on Thursday, September 10, as Pumas UNAM welcomes León in a rescheduled clash. Elsewhere, heavyweights Club América, Cruz Azul, and Chivas Guadalajara press for vital points into the weekend as the roster deadline passes. Let me guide you through our AI-driven predictions and statistical breakdowns for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Liga MX round 8. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM | León | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Necaxa | Puebla | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Atlante | Pachuca | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Tijuana | Querétaro | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Toluca | Atlas | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-13 | Liga MX | Monterrey | Tigres UANL | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-13 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | América | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Juárez | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Pumas UNAM | León | 33 | 67 | 2.27 | 1.79 |
| 2026-09-12 | Necaxa | Puebla | 100 | 50 | 1.93 | 2.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | Atlante | Pachuca | 67 | 25 | 3.58 | 1.39 |
| 2026-09-12 | Tijuana | Querétaro | 50 | 67 | 3.66 | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-12 | Toluca | Atlas | 67 | 33 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| 2026-09-13 | Monterrey | Tigres UANL | 100 | 75 | 1.27 | 4.69 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cruz Azul | América | 50 | 67 | 1.77 | 2.30 |
| 2026-09-14 | Santos Laguna | Juárez | 0 | 33 | 5.49 | 1.22 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM | León | 13.21 | 1.08 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Necaxa | Puebla | 3.71 | 1.37 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Atlante | Pachuca | 32.02 | 1.03 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Tijuana | Querétaro | 23.57 | 1.04 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Toluca | Atlas | 2.37 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-13 | Liga MX | Monterrey | Tigres UANL | 1.15 | 7.62 |
| 2026-09-13 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | América | 3.58 | 1.39 |
| 2026-09-14 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Juárez | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monterrey | 3.33 | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| América | 2.67 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Toluca | 2.67 | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.33 |
| Cruz Azul | 1.25 | 1.50 | 2.33 | 1.67 |
| Guadalajara | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Tijuana | 2.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Puebla | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Querétaro | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.67 | 0.67 |
| Atlas | 1.00 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 0.67 |
| Pachuca | 1.33 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| León | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Pumas UNAM | 0.33 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Tigres UANL | 1.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Necaxa | 1.50 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Atlético San Luis | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| Atlante | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Santos Laguna | 0.00 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Juárez | 0.50 | 2.50 | 0.33 | 3.67 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Liga MX | Pumas UNAM | León | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Necaxa | Puebla | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Atlante | Pachuca | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Tijuana | Querétaro | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Liga MX | Toluca | Atlas | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-13 | Liga MX | Monterrey | Tigres UANL | 2 | 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | Liga MX | Cruz Azul | América | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-14 | Liga MX | Santos Laguna | Juárez | 1 | 0 |


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