Heavyweight clashes and early title rivalry take center stage in Spain as LaLiga EA Sports kicks off Jornada 4 from September 4–7. With both FC Barcelona and Real Madrid locked at the top of the table with perfect nine-point records, the margin for error is non-existent across the Iberian peninsula.
The weekend gets underway with a blockbuster Friday night fixture on September 4 as Real Madrid visits Real Betis at Estadio La Cartuja. On Saturday, September 5, Athletic Club hosts Atlético de Madrid in a fierce battle at San Mamés, while Villarreal clashes with Deportivo de La Coruña. Sunday, September 6, brings a classic showdown as league leaders FC Barcelona put their 100% record on the line away to Valencia CF at Mestalla. Let me guide you through our AI-driven predictions and statistical breakdowns for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for La Liga round 4. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | La Liga | Real Betis | Real Madrid | A | No bet |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | Atlético Madrid | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | Racing Santander | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Villarreal | Deportivo La Coruña | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Valencia CF | FC Barcelona | A | No bet |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés | CA Osasuna | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Málaga CF | Levante UD | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | RCD Espanyol | Sevilla FC | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-07 | La Liga | Getafe CF | Celta de Vigo | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | La Liga | Elche CF | Real Sociedad | H | 0 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Real Betis | Real Madrid | 55 | 55 | 1.86 | 2.17 |
| 2026-09-05 | Athletic Club Bilbao | Atlético Madrid | 55 | 60 | 1.25 | 5.08 |
| 2026-09-05 | Rayo Vallecano | Racing Santander | 55 | 0 | 3.26 | 1.44 |
| 2026-09-05 | Villarreal | Deportivo La Coruña | 63 | 100 | 1.81 | 2.24 |
| 2026-09-06 | Valencia CF | FC Barcelona | 57 | 65 | 2.22 | 1.82 |
| 2026-09-06 | Deportivo Alavés | CA Osasuna | 67 | 40 | 2.05 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-06 | Málaga CF | Levante UD | 100 | 43 | 3.31 | 1.43 |
| 2026-09-06 | RCD Espanyol | Sevilla FC | 52 | 60 | 1.63 | 2.59 |
| 2026-09-07 | Getafe CF | Celta de Vigo | 30 | 57 | 5.04 | 1.25 |
| 2026-09-07 | Elche CF | Real Sociedad | 55 | 76 | 2.24 | 1.81 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | La Liga | Real Betis | Real Madrid | 4.00 | 1.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | Atlético Madrid | 1.14 | 8.28 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | Racing Santander | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Villarreal | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.71 | 2.42 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Valencia CF | FC Barcelona | 2.31 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés | CA Osasuna | 2.54 | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Málaga CF | Levante UD | 6.74 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | RCD Espanyol | Sevilla FC | 1.48 | 3.08 |
| 2026-09-07 | La Liga | Getafe CF | Celta de Vigo | 65.92 | 1.02 |
| 2026-09-07 | La Liga | Elche CF | Real Sociedad | 4.80 | 1.26 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona | 3.05 | 0.57 | 2.15 | 1.30 |
| Real Madrid | 2.52 | 0.81 | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| Villarreal | 2.53 | 1.00 | 1.27 | 1.45 |
| Atlético Madrid | 2.05 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Racing Santander | 2.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 2.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Real Betis | 1.75 | 0.95 | 1.33 | 1.62 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.86 | 1.52 | 1.10 | 1.67 |
| Celta de Vigo | 1.43 | 1.52 | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| Elche CF | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.05 | 2.00 |
| Sevilla FC | 1.29 | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.80 |
| Levante UD | 1.55 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| RCD Mallorca | 1.63 | 1.11 | 0.84 | 1.89 |
| Deportivo Alavés | 1.38 | 1.19 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| RCD Espanyol | 1.19 | 1.24 | 1.15 | 1.65 |
| CA Osasuna | 1.52 | 1.14 | 0.75 | 1.35 |
| Valencia CF | 1.29 | 1.14 | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Athletic Club Bilbao | 1.15 | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.86 |
| Rayo Vallecano | 1.25 | 0.80 | 0.95 | 1.71 |
| Girona FC | 1.11 | 1.42 | 0.95 | 1.47 |
| Getafe CF | 0.95 | 0.80 | 0.67 | 1.24 |
| Real Oviedo | 0.47 | 0.95 | 0.89 | 2.21 |
| Málaga CF | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | La Liga | Real Betis | Real Madrid | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Athletic Club Bilbao | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Rayo Vallecano | Racing Santander | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | La Liga | Villarreal | Deportivo La Coruña | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Valencia CF | FC Barcelona | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Deportivo Alavés | CA Osasuna | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | Málaga CF | Levante UD | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | La Liga | RCD Espanyol | Sevilla FC | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | La Liga | Getafe CF | Celta de Vigo | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | La Liga | Elche CF | Real Sociedad | 1 | 1 |
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