Blockbuster derbies and early-season statements take center stage in England as the Premier League kicks off a sensational Matchweek 3 from September 5–6. With the summer transfer window officially closed, the top flight’s elite clubs are unleashing their finalized squads for a high-intensity weekend of football.
The crown jewel of the weekend unfolds on Sunday, September 6, as Arsenal hosts arch-rivals Chelsea at the Emirates Stadium in a fierce London derby. Earlier on Sunday, Everton locks horns with Manchester United at 14:00 BST. Saturday, September 5, gets underway early as Newcastle United welcomes AFC Bournemouth at 12:30 BST, followed by Manchester City facing Coventry City and Nottingham Forest taking on Tottenham Hotspur. The Saturday slate concludes with Aston Villa traveling to face Hull City at 17:30 BST. Let me guide you through our AI-driven predictions and statistical breakdowns for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Premier League round 3. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Premier League | Ipswich Town | Liverpool | A | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Brentford | Sunderland | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Manchester City | Coventry City | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Fulham | Crystal Palace | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Hull City | Aston Villa | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Everton | Manchester United | A | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Arsenal | Chelsea | H | 1X2 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Ipswich Town | Liverpool | 100 | 70 | 1.54 | 2.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth | 80 | 70 | 1.52 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-05 | Brentford | Sunderland | 55 | 50 | 1.52 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-05 | Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United | 55 | 60 | 2.67 | 1.60 |
| 2026-09-05 | Manchester City | Coventry City | 50 | 0 | 4.90 | 1.26 |
| 2026-09-05 | Fulham | Crystal Palace | 55 | 50 | 1.86 | 2.16 |
| 2026-09-05 | Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | 45 | 50 | 2.46 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | Hull City | Aston Villa | 0 | 60 | 1.72 | 2.38 |
| 2026-09-06 | Everton | Manchester United | 50 | 70 | 1.95 | 2.05 |
| 2026-09-06 | Arsenal | Chelsea | 40 | 70 | 2.20 | 1.83 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Premier League | Ipswich Town | Liverpool | 1.59 | 2.70 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth | 1.41 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Brentford | Sunderland | 1.50 | 3.01 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United | 5.13 | 1.24 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Manchester City | Coventry City | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Fulham | Crystal Palace | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | 7.82 | 1.15 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Hull City | Aston Villa | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Everton | Manchester United | 3.61 | 1.38 |
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Arsenal | Chelsea | 2.07 | 1.93 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 2.35 | 0.75 | 1.80 | 1.10 |
| Ipswich Town | 2.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| Arsenal | 2.20 | 0.55 | 1.55 | 0.80 |
| Manchester United | 2.20 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Liverpool | 1.80 | 1.10 | 1.55 | 1.75 |
| Chelsea | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.75 | 1.45 |
| AFC Bournemouth | 1.50 | 1.05 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Hull City | 2.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 1.70 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Brentford | 1.80 | 1.05 | 1.15 | 1.60 |
| Newcastle United | 1.90 | 1.60 | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| Aston Villa | 1.60 | 1.15 | 1.20 | 1.55 |
| Leeds United | 1.50 | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.75 |
| Everton | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Fulham | 1.60 | 1.15 | 0.85 | 1.60 |
| West Ham United | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.00 | 1.84 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 1.10 | 1.65 | 1.30 | 1.45 |
| Sunderland | 1.30 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.00 | 1.35 | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Burnley | 0.95 | 1.53 | 1.05 | 2.42 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1.00 | 1.79 | 0.42 | 1.79 |
| Coventry City | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Premier League | Ipswich Town | Liverpool | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Newcastle United | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Brentford | Sunderland | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Manchester City | Coventry City | 3 | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Fulham | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Nottingham Forest | Tottenham Hotspur | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Premier League | Hull City | Aston Villa | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Everton | Manchester United | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Premier League | Arsenal | Chelsea | 2 | 1 |
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