High-stakes battles and historic rivalries take center stage in England as the EFL Championship kicks off Matchday 5 on Saturday, September 5. With just goal difference separating the top three sides, early-season promotion hopefuls are pushing to establish their dominance across the second tier.
The crown jewel of the weekend unfolds under the floodlights at 8:00 PM BST as league leaders Swansea City host Wrexham in a thrilling all-Welsh blockbuster. At 3:00 PM BST, second-placed Queens Park Rangers welcomes Middlesbrough, featuring league co-top scorer Will Lankshear (4 goals), while Sheffield United clashes with Norwich City at Bramall Lane and West Ham United—boosted by Divine Mukasa‘s midweek brace—hosts Derby County. Action begins early at 12:30 PM BST as third-placed Charlton Athletic puts their three-game winning streak on the line at Stoke City, while Southampton (led by 4-goal striker Cyle Larin) visits Lincoln City. Let me guide you through our AI-driven predictions and statistical breakdowns for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for EFL Championship round 5. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Preston North End | Blackburn Rovers | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Stoke City | Charlton Athletic | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Lincoln City | Southampton | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Millwall | Bolton Wanderers | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Burnley | Bristol City | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Portsmouth | Cardiff City | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | West Ham United | Derby County | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Queens Park Rangers | Middlesbrough | H | +0.25 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Sheffield United | Norwich City | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | West Bromwich Albion | Watford | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Swansea City | Wrexham | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-06 | EFL Championship | Birmingham City | Wolverhampton Wanderers | H | 0 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Preston North End | Blackburn Rovers | 100 | 50 | 2.62 | 1.62 |
| 2026-09-05 | Stoke City | Charlton Athletic | 50 | 100 | 4.38 | 1.30 |
| 2026-09-05 | Lincoln City | Southampton | 50 | 100 | 2.57 | 1.64 |
| 2026-09-05 | Millwall | Bolton Wanderers | 0 | 50 | 3.36 | 1.42 |
| 2026-09-05 | Burnley | Bristol City | 100 | 100 | 1.62 | 2.62 |
| 2026-09-05 | Portsmouth | Cardiff City | 50 | 100 | 1.47 | 3.15 |
| 2026-09-05 | West Ham United | Derby County | 100 | 50 | 1.40 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | Queens Park Rangers | Middlesbrough | 50 | 100 | 4.85 | 1.26 |
| 2026-09-05 | Sheffield United | Norwich City | 50 | 0 | 1.71 | 2.40 |
| 2026-09-05 | West Bromwich Albion | Watford | 100 | 50 | 3.92 | 1.34 |
| 2026-09-05 | Swansea City | Wrexham | 0 | 50 | 7.01 | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-06 | Birmingham City | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 100 | 100 | 1.94 | 2.06 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Preston North End | Blackburn Rovers | 23.05 | 1.05 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Stoke City | Charlton Athletic | 14.70 | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Lincoln City | Southampton | 32.36 | 1.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Millwall | Bolton Wanderers | 11.16 | 1.10 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Burnley | Bristol City | 1.59 | 2.70 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Portsmouth | Cardiff City | 1.55 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | West Ham United | Derby County | 1.27 | 4.73 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Queens Park Rangers | Middlesbrough | 118.33 | 1.01 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Sheffield United | Norwich City | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | West Bromwich Albion | Watford | 3.52 | 1.40 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Swansea City | Wrexham | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | EFL Championship | Birmingham City | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2.05 | 1.96 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Southampton | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| West Ham United | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Queens Park Rangers | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Bristol City | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| West Bromwich Albion | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Swansea City | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 |
| Middlesbrough | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Wrexham | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 |
| Cardiff City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Millwall | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Sheffield United | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Birmingham City | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Norwich City | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| Derby County | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Burnley | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 3.5 |
| Portsmouth | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Stoke City | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.5 |
| Watford | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Preston North End | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Lincoln City | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Preston North End | Blackburn Rovers | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Stoke City | Charlton Athletic | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Lincoln City | Southampton | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Millwall | Bolton Wanderers | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Burnley | Bristol City | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Portsmouth | Cardiff City | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | West Ham United | Derby County | 1 | 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Queens Park Rangers | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Sheffield United | Norwich City | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | West Bromwich Albion | Watford | 2 | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | EFL Championship | Swansea City | Wrexham | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | EFL Championship | Birmingham City | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 1 | 2 |
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