The push for playoff positioning reaches high gear in Major League Soccer as the league kicks off a packed weekend of regular season action on September 4–5. With Decision Day drawing closer and crucial conference seeding on the line, every point is vital for postseason contenders across North America.
The weekend gets underway on Friday, September 4, as New York City FC welcomes Nashville SC in a critical Eastern Conference showdown. On Saturday, September 5, all eyes will be on Inter Miami CF as they lock horns with rivals Atlanta United, while high-flying Columbus Crew hosts the Colorado Rapids at Lower.com Field. Elsewhere, FC Cincinnati clashes with D.C. United and LA Galaxy hosts the New England Revolution. Let’s dive into our AI-driven statistical breakdowns and predictions for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for MLS round 23. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | MLS | New York City | Nashville SC | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Inter Miami | Atlanta United FC | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Montreal Impact | H | No bet |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Charlotte | Houston Dynamo | H | -0.25 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Toronto | Chicago Fire | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Columbus Crew | Colorado Rapids | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | FC Cincinnati | DC United | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Orlando City | San Diego | A | +0.25 |
| 2026-09-06 | MLS | Austin | SJ Earthquakes | A | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | MLS | FC Dallas | Sporting KC | H | No bet |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | New York City | Nashville SC | 73 | 20 | 2.06 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-05 | Inter Miami | Atlanta United FC | 90 | 55 | 1.35 | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia Union | Montreal Impact | 60 | 55 | 2.16 | 1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | Charlotte | Houston Dynamo | 75 | 45 | 1.74 | 2.35 |
| 2026-09-05 | Toronto | Chicago Fire | 100 | 82 | 1.40 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-05 | Columbus Crew | Colorado Rapids | 64 | 45 | 2.88 | 1.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | FC Cincinnati | DC United | 73 | 55 | 1.21 | 5.73 |
| 2026-09-05 | Orlando City | San Diego | 82 | 50 | 2.14 | 1.88 |
| 2026-09-06 | Austin | SJ Earthquakes | 60 | 64 | 2.08 | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-06 | FC Dallas | Sporting KC | 78 | 45 | 1.78 | 2.28 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | MLS | New York City | Nashville SC | 3.01 | 1.50 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Inter Miami | Atlanta United FC | 1.25 | 5.04 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Montreal Impact | 2.07 | 1.94 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Charlotte | Houston Dynamo | 2.42 | 1.71 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Toronto | Chicago Fire | 1.21 | 5.69 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Columbus Crew | Colorado Rapids | 4.56 | 1.28 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | FC Cincinnati | DC United | 1.08 | 13.01 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Orlando City | San Diego | 3.49 | 1.40 |
| 2026-09-06 | MLS | Austin | SJ Earthquakes | 3.47 | 1.40 |
| 2026-09-06 | MLS | FC Dallas | Sporting KC | 1.13 | 8.93 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami | 2.90 | 2.00 | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | 2.45 | 0.55 | 2.10 | 1.20 |
| FC Cincinnati | 2.82 | 1.91 | 1.64 | 2.73 |
| Nashville SC | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| Chicago Fire | 2.00 | 1.10 | 1.73 | 1.55 |
| FC Dallas | 2.00 | 1.78 | 1.77 | 1.62 |
| Charlotte | 2.17 | 1.08 | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| San Diego | 2.50 | 1.33 | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| SJ Earthquakes | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.82 | 1.27 |
| Portland Timbers | 2.18 | 1.64 | 1.36 | 1.91 |
| Orlando City | 1.73 | 1.55 | 1.64 | 3.36 |
| New York City | 2.27 | 1.64 | 1.00 | 1.18 |
| New England Revolution | 1.83 | 0.92 | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Real Salt Lake | 2.20 | 1.30 | 1.09 | 1.82 |
| Los Angeles FC | 1.92 | 0.92 | 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Philadelphia Union | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.83 | 2.33 |
| St. Louis City | 1.91 | 1.27 | 1.09 | 1.45 |
| Toronto | 1.92 | 1.92 | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| New York RB | 1.50 | 1.92 | 1.40 | 2.30 |
| Colorado Rapids | 1.91 | 0.82 | 0.91 | 1.73 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.55 | 2.27 |
| Montreal Impact | 1.36 | 1.18 | 1.36 | 3.00 |
| Minnesota United | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.73 | 1.91 |
| Houston Dynamo | 1.18 | 0.64 | 1.55 | 1.73 |
| Austin | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.17 | 2.58 |
| DC United | 1.36 | 2.00 | 1.18 | 1.27 |
| LA Galaxy | 1.09 | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Seattle Sounders | 1.60 | 1.80 | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| Atlanta United FC | 1.36 | 1.64 | 0.91 | 1.82 |
| Sporting KC | 1.09 | 1.91 | 0.73 | 3.00 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | MLS | New York City | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Inter Miami | Atlanta United FC | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Philadelphia Union | Montreal Impact | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Charlotte | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Toronto | Chicago Fire | 2 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Columbus Crew | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | FC Cincinnati | DC United | 3 | 2 |
| 2026-09-05 | MLS | Orlando City | San Diego | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | MLS | Austin | SJ Earthquakes | 1 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | MLS | FC Dallas | Sporting KC | 3 | 1 |
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