Expect high drama and frantic tactical battles in Portugal as Primeira Liga kicks off Jornada 5 from September 4–6. With the league extending its transfer window registration deadline to September 4, clubs across the division are racing against the clock to finalize roster changes while securing vital early-season points.
Reigning champions FC Porto open the weekend’s action on Friday, September 4, as they host Moreirense FC at the Estádio do Dragão. On Saturday, September 5, title-chasers Sporting CP will clash with CD Nacional, while SL Benfica faces a challenging away assignment against Marítimo in Funchal. Elsewhere, SC Braga travels to face newly promoted FC Alverca. Let’s explore our AI-driven statistical breakdowns and predictions for this week’s matches.
Full Time Results and Asian Handicap
In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Primeira Liga round 5. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Prediction | Asian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | Estrela Amadora | Famalicão | H | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | Alverca | Sporting Braga | H | +0.5 |
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | CS Marítimo | Benfica | H | +1.25 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | Rio Ave FC | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Vitória Guimarães | Casa Pia | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | Academico Viseu | H | 1X2 |
| 2026-09-07 | Primeira Liga | GD Estoril Praia | FC Arouca | H | -0.25 |
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Both Teams to Score
BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | BTS Home (%) | BTS Away (%) | BTS Target | BTS No Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Estrela Amadora | Famalicão | 100 | 50 | 1.79 | 2.27 |
| 2026-09-05 | Alverca | Sporting Braga | 100 | 100 | 1.52 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-05 | CS Marítimo | Benfica | 50 | 0 | 7.28 | 1.16 |
| 2026-09-06 | Santa Clara | Rio Ave FC | 50 | 0 | 3.80 | 1.36 |
| 2026-09-06 | Vitória Guimarães | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 4.77 | 1.27 |
| 2026-09-06 | Gil Vicente | Academico Viseu | 0 | 100 | 2.25 | 1.80 |
| 2026-09-07 | GD Estoril Praia | FC Arouca | 50 | 0 | 2.08 | 1.93 |
Totals
The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | +2.5 target odds | -2.5 target odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | Estrela Amadora | Famalicão | 1.00 | 990.53 |
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | Alverca | Sporting Braga | 1.27 | 4.75 |
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | CS Marítimo | Benfica | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | Rio Ave FC | 358.54 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Vitória Guimarães | Casa Pia | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | Academico Viseu | 1000.00 | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | Primeira Liga | GD Estoril Praia | FC Arouca | 5.54 | 1.22 |
We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.
| Team | Home Goals | Home Conceded | Away Goals | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2.0 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 0.0 |
| Sporting CP | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Estrela Amadora | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| Porto | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| FC Arouca | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| CD Nacional | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| CS Marítimo | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Sporting Braga | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Santa Clara | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Academico Viseu | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Alverca | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| Gil Vicente | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Moreirense FC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Vitória Guimarães | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Rio Ave FC | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Famalicão | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GD Estoril Praia | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 |
| Casa Pia | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
Correct Score Predictions
These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.
| Date | League | Home Team | Away Team | Home Score | Away Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | Estrela Amadora | Famalicão | 7 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | Alverca | Sporting Braga | 2 | 1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Primeira Liga | CS Marítimo | Benfica | 0 | 1 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Santa Clara | Rio Ave FC | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Vitória Guimarães | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | Academico Viseu | 3 | 1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Primeira Liga | GD Estoril Praia | FC Arouca | 2 | 1 |


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