AI Football Tips: Ligue 1 round 1

French football returns with maximum fanfare as the 2026/27 Ligue 1 season kicks off for Journée 1 on August 21–23. After a blockbuster summer transfer window—highlighted by champions Paris Saint-Germain acquiring marquee midfielder Maghnes Akliouche from AS Monaco and forward Ferrán Torres, alongside Olympique Lyonnais signing striker Loïs Openda—the race for the French crown promises intense drama.

The opening weekend features captivating clashes across France starting on August 21–23, when titleholders Paris Saint-Germain host Stade Rennais FC at Parc des Princes, while Olympique de Marseille welcomes RC Strasbourg Alsace to a roaring Stade Vélodrome. Meanwhile, Olympique Lyonnais travels to face Toulouse FC, AS Monaco visits Havre AC, and LOSC Lille collides with Angers SCO. Explore our AI-driven statistical predictions and match previews for this week’s opening round.

Full Time Results and Asian Handicap

In the table below you will find our AI prediccions for Ligue 1 round 1. Asian refers to the recomended asian handicap line.

Date League Home Team Away Team Prediction Asian
2026-08-21 Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille Strasbourg H 1X2
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Lens Auxerre H 1X2
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Nice Lorient H 1X2
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais H 0
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 Angers SCO Lille A 1X2
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 Le Havre Monaco H +0.25
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 PSG Rennes H No bet

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Both Teams to Score

BTS (Both Teams to Score) is a popular betting market in sports, especially in soccer. In a BTS bet, you’re wagering on whether both teams in a match will score at least one goal each. The table below shows the BTS stats for the home team at home and the away team away.

Date Home Team Away Team BTS Home (%) BTS Away (%) BTS Target BTS No Target
2026-08-21 Olympique Marseille Strasbourg 65 76 1.42 3.38
2026-08-22 Lens Auxerre 41 47 1.98 2.02
2026-08-22 Nice Lorient 50 35 2.11 1.90
2026-08-22 Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais 41 53 1.88 2.14
2026-08-23 Angers SCO Lille 41 29 3.63 1.38
2026-08-23 Le Havre Monaco 59 71 1.62 2.61
2026-08-23 PSG Rennes 35 47 1.62 2.62

Totals

The table below shows the goal averages for each encounter based on home teams average performance (goals scored and conceded) at home, and away teams average performance away. We use poisson distribution to calculate probabilities for over and under 2.5 goal. For your convienence we have converted the probabilities to decimal odds.

Date League Home Team Away Team +2.5 target odds -2.5 target odds
2026-08-21 Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille Strasbourg 1.32 4.11
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Lens Auxerre 2.52 1.66
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Nice Lorient 3.25 1.45
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais 2.53 1.65
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 Angers SCO Lille 5.93 1.20
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 Le Havre Monaco 1.49 3.05
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 PSG Rennes 1.48 3.09

We also have calculated the average goals scored and conceded for the teams. See the table below.

Team Home Goals Home Conceded Away Goals Away Conceded
PSG 2.41 0.71 1.94 1.00
Lens 2.06 0.76 1.82 1.29
Olympique Marseille 2.41 1.18 1.06 1.50
Monaco 1.94 1.35 1.59 1.82
Rennes 1.76 1.00 1.71 1.94
Strasbourg 1.76 1.12 1.65 1.65
Olympique Lyonnais 1.76 1.06 1.35 1.29
Lille 1.41 1.00 1.65 1.18
Toulouse 1.47 1.41 1.38 1.38
Lorient 1.82 1.47 1.00 1.53
Paris 1.65 1.59 1.12 1.35
Brest 1.65 1.35 0.88 1.88
Nice 1.12 1.38 1.06 1.94
Auxerre 1.06 1.00 0.94 1.59
Metz 0.88 1.88 1.00 2.59
Le Havre 1.18 1.06 0.71 1.53
Nantes 1.12 1.69 0.65 1.47
Angers SCO 1.06 1.18 0.65 1.65

Correct Score Predictions

These projections are generated using advanced statistical models that evaluate team strength, expected‑goals data, and historical scoring patterns. The table below highlights the most probable scorelines based on current performance indicators and model‑driven probability weighting.

Date League Home Team Away Team Home Score Away Score
2026-08-21 Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille Strasbourg 2 1
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Lens Auxerre 2 1
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Nice Lorient 1 1
2026-08-22 Ligue 1 Toulouse Olympique Lyonnais 1 1
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 Angers SCO Lille 0 1
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 Le Havre Monaco 1 2
2026-08-23 Ligue 1 PSG Rennes 2 1


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